November 6, 2025

The Math Behind Fixed vs. Variable Mortgage Rates.

The Math Behind Fixed vs. Variable — Simplified

Imagine your mortgage is like choosing between two kinds of phone plans — one with a fixed monthly price (no surprises) and one that changes based on usage (could be cheaper or more expensive depending on the month).

Side-by-side phones: Fixed with a lock icon vs Variable with a rising graph line

When you choose a fixed-rate mortgage, your interest rate and monthly payment stay the same for the entire term. It’s like locking in a steady phone bill — predictable and easy to plan around. A variable-rate mortgage, on the other hand, moves with the market. When rates drop, your payment can shrink and save you money; when rates rise, it can climb. Both options work, but they serve different personalities — fixed appeals to those who value stability, while variable attracts those willing to take calculated risks for potential savings.

Let’s look at the math behind it

Using a $500,000 mortgage over 25 years, here’s how fixed and variable rates compare in real numbers and visuals.

Table 1 — Baseline Comparison (Monthly payment & 5-year interest)
TypeRateAmortizationMonthly Payment5-Year Interest
Fixed5.00%25 yrs$2,923$118,278
Variable4.50%25 yrs$2,779$106,039

Variable starts cheaper (≈ $144/month less) — but can rise if rates climb.

Figure 1 — Monthly Payment Over 60 Months
Fixed line flat at about $2,923; variable starts $2,779 then rises near $3,050 after month 24 (+1% rate).

At +1% rate increase (around month 24) variable payments ≈ $3,052 — same as fixed.

Table 2 — What-If Variable Rate Increases at Month 24
New RateNew PaymentChange vs Fixed
5.50%$3,052+$129
6.00%$3,194+$271
6.50%$3,339+$416

Each +1% rate ≈ +$125 to $150 per month on a $500k mortgage.

Figure 2 — Total Interest Paid in First 5 Years
Bar chart comparing 5-year interest: fixed about $118 k vs variable about $106 k.


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